This paper aims to investigate the relationship between working capital and profitability in the context of an emerging economy, such as the Chilean one. For this purpose, we analyzed data from a sample of manufacturing companies in the Santiago metropolitan region. The data concern the period 2016-2018 and were collected through the use of a questionnaire. To develop the research, we used the generalized least squares method, as it allows for more reliable results. The empirical results showed that the relationship between the single determinants of working capital and profitability is not linear, suggesting that, until the optimal size is reached, the relationship between working capital and profitability is positive. However, once the optimal size is exceeded, the relationship becomes negative.
Working capital management (WCM) concerns how a company manages its main components, namely liquidity, credits, inventories and debts. The management policies of each component of working capital can influence the economic and financial dimension of the company contexts [1-6].
For example, an increase in customer lending could favour sales but at the same time lead to a liquidity crisis and greater credit losses [7-8]. Therefore, the management of the individual items of working capital requires the utmost attention from all companies, of any size.
Especially in the current economic context, characterized by high and global competition, companies are more exposed to environmental, economic and financial risks that can lead to bankruptcy or exit from the market [9-11].
Therefore, financial decisions affecting working capital are critically important to the survival, development and profitability of any business [12-13].
Although this research topic has been extensively studied in different economic contexts, the literature on the subject is still highly controversial [14-23].
However, most previous studies have focused on publicly traded firms or large firms in developed economies, with only more recently paying attention to emerging economies and small and medium-sized enterprises [3,25-28].
Therefore, the studies that address this issue concerning SMEs in the context of developing economies must be further investigated, to provide further empirical evidence of the relationship between the determinants of working capital and profitability. Among other things, considering that in emerging economies SMEs are the main growth engine of the country and make an important contribution to employment and GDP [29], this theme needs to be adequately investigated. Furthermore, due to the less developed financial systems, these firms have financial constraints that affect the ability to access credit, increasing business risk [30-32].
Therefore, this paper aims to investigate the relationship between the determinants of working capital and profitability in the context of the Chilean economy. In this perspective, the results can provide useful and further empirical evidence in the literature. Furthermore, empirical findings can help SME managers to manage working capital more effectively and efficiently, favouring the survival, development and profitability of the company.
The paper is organized as follows. The next section contains the literature review. The third section illustrates the research methodology, while the fourth highlights and comments on the results. Finally, the last section contains the concluding remarks.
Literature Review
The literature on the relationship between working capital and firm performance is very extensive. The effective and efficient management of working capital necessarily requires focusing attention on its determinants, i.e. liquidity, credits, inventories and debts [33-36,5].
In general, the management of current assets and current liabilities should allow the company to meet its short-term obligations, optimizing the relationship between risk and profitability [37-40,4,9,28].
The credit extensions can help increase sales and acquire new customers, with a clear impact on profitability. However, granting more credit to businesses also leads to an increase in the level of risk, as customers could experience financial difficulties and cause a slowdown or reduction in collections [41-43].
The inventory represents the link between production and the sale [44-45,32,11]. Inventory management has a decisive impact on liquidity and sales policies. Finally, debts also represent an important determinant of working capital [34,7,23,46]. The extension of the maturity of the debts can help the company to recover liquidity, but it can involve the loss of discounts or a deterioration in the relationship with suppliers [10].
The relationship between the determinants of working capital and profitability is controversial, with negative, positive and non-linear relationships being found.
Some authors have pointed out that there is a negative relationship between working capital and profitability.
In particular, Jose et al. [47] found a negative relationship between the Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC) and profitability, measured by ROA and ROE. In different developed countries, different authors [17,3,24,48-50] have shown that there is a negative relationship between the CCC and some of its determinants, such as account receivables (AR), account payables (AP) and inventory. Likewise, also in emerging economies and in developing countries, other authors have confirmed the existence of a negative relationship between WCM and profitability [51-53,34,43].
Compared to what has just been highlighted, other studies have indicated a positive relationship between working capital management and business profitability. In the United States, Gill et al. [54] found a positive relationship between CCC and profitability.
In developing countries, Sharma and Kumar [55] and Akinlo and Olufisayo [56] found a positive relationship between some elements of the WCM (AR, CCC) and the company's profitability.
Finally, other studies have highlighted a non-linear relationship between the determinants of working capital and profitability. In this perspective, until the working capital has reached an optimal level, the investments in working capital have positive effects on the company profitability. However, once the optimal level is exceeded, investments in working capital have a negative effect on profitability as they involve an increase in costs with the consequent possibility of financial difficulties [43].
The data was collected through a questionnaire which made it possible to obtain all the balance sheet data necessary for our survey. Overall, we analyzed data from 123 manufacturing companies in the Santiago metropolitan region. The observation time horizon is five years and runs from 2014 to 2018.
The variables were determined as shown in Table 1.
To answer the research questions, we used two models. The first (Model 1) investigates the impact of each element of working capital (independent variables) on profitability (ROA), and can be summarized as follows:
![]()
(1a)
![]()
(2a)
![]()
(3a)
![]()
(4a)
The second (Model 2) analyzes the relationship between working capital and profitability, looking for the presence of a possible non-linear relationship by using a quadratic relationship
![]()
(1a)
![]()
(2a)
![]()
(3a)
![]()
4a)
Table 1: Variables of Interest
| Dependent Variable | ||
| Profitability | ROA | Net income/Average Total Assets |
| Independent Variables | - | - |
| Inventory | INV | Log (Average ages of inventories x 365/Cost) |
| Account Receivables | AR | Log (AR x 365/Turnover) |
| Account Payables | AP | Log (AP x 365/Cost) |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | CCC | Log (INV + AR) - AP |
| Control Variables | - | - |
| Firm Size | SIZE | Log (Total Assets) |
| Current Ratio | CR | Total Current Assets/ Total Current Liabilities |
| Assets Turnover Ratio | ATR | Total Fixed Assets/Total Assets |
Table 2: Descriptive Statistics
| Variables | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max |
| ROA | 0.065 | 0.069 | -0.190 | 0.372 |
| INV | 4.181 | 1.987 | -4.432 | 6.151 |
| AR | 4.347 | 1.198 | 1.241 | 7.569 |
| AP | 3.527 | 1.129 | -3.816 | 5.928 |
| CCC | 4.673 | 1.146 | -3.163 | 7.673 |
| SIZE | 9.691 | 0.672 | 7.272 | 13.198 |
| CR | 2.087 | 1.927 | 0.385 | 14.865 |
| ATR | 0.193 | 0.231 | 0.000 | 0.949 |
Table 3: Correlation Matrix
| Parameter | ROA | INV | AR | AP | CCC | SIZE | CR | ATR |
| ROA | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| INV | -0.231 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| AR | -0.310 | 0.235 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - |
| AP | -0.291 | 0.291 | 0.475 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| CCC | -0.231 | 0.639 | 0.691 | 0.257 | 1 | - | - | - |
| SIZE | -0.093 | 0.147 | 0.103 | 0.198 | 0.109 | 1 | - | - |
| CR | 0.291 | -0,121 | -0.041 | -0.027 | 0.027 | -0.161 | 1 | - |
| ATR | 0.049 | -0.257 | -0.291 | -0.012 | 0.031 | 0.037 | -0.141 | 1 |
Table 4: Model 1
Variables | 1a | 1b | 1c | 1d |
INV | -0.00463*** | - | - | - |
AR | - | -0.0195*** | - | - |
AP | - | - | -0.0919*** | - |
CCC | - | - | - | -0.0137*** |
SIZE | 0.00989*** | 0.0119*** | 0.0109*** | 0.0113 |
CR | 0.00159*** | 0.00183*** | 0.00009 | 0.00219*** |
ATR | 0.00000 | -0.0216*** | 0.0007 | 0.0223*** |
C | 0.0345** | 0.0841*** | 0.0431*** | 0.0616*** |
Significance levels: * < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***p < 0.001
Table 5: Model 2
| 13 | 2a | 2b | 2c | 2d |
INV | 0.00118** | - | - | - |
INV(2) | -0.00693*** | - | - | - |
AR | - | 0.0137*** | - | - |
AR (2) | - | -0.0371*** | - | - |
AP | - | - | 0.00583*** | - |
AP (2) | - | - | -0.00251*** | - |
CCC | - | - | - | 0.0119*** |
CCC(2) | - | - | - | -0.00289*** |
SIZE | 0.0115*** | 0.0116*** | 0.0107*** | 0.0135*** |
CR | 0.00169*** | 0.00187*** | -0.00105** | 0.00229*** |
ATR | -0.00579 | -0.0235*** | -0.00541 | -0.0263*** |
C | 0.0231 | 0.0122 | 0.0251 | -0.00493 |
Significance levels: * < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***p < 0.001
To develop the analysis, we used the Generalized Least Squares method, as it allows for more reliable results. Table 2 shows the results of the descriptive statistics.
Table 3 shows the correlation analysis, highlighting that there are no particular multicollinearity problems.
Empirical Findings and Discussion
The results of the first regression model are shown in Table 4.
Model 1 regression results showed that individual determinants and WCM have a significant (1%) negative impact on profitability. In particular, the Cash Conversion Cycle highlights that companies that manage to reduce the cycle have greater profitability. These results confirm the results obtained in previous researches [57-58,17].
The results of model 2 are shown in table 5.
Empirical findings are statistically significant and show that an increase in each element of working capital determines an increase in profitability, as is evident from the previous table. However, the quadratic variables show a non-linear relationship between the individual components of working capital and profitability. In this perspective, an investment in working capital produces a positive effect until the optimal level is reached, which corresponds to the curvature point evaluated at –β1 / 2β2. After this level, the investment in working capital produces a negative effect on the profitability of the company.
Consequently, expansive working capital policies produce positive effects until the firm reaches the optimal size, i.e. the curvature point [33,14]. However, once the optimal level is exceeded, investment in working capital causes an increase in the costs and risks of financial difficulties, reducing profitability [59-60].
This paper aimed to investigate the relationship between working capital and profitability in the context of an emerging economy, such as the Chilean ones.
For this purpose, we have selected a sample of manufacturing companies in the metropolitan region of Santiago. The data concerned the 2014-2018 period and were collected through the use of a questionnaire that allowed us to obtain all the balance sheet data necessary to calculate the variables being analyzed. To develop the research, we used the Generalized Least Squares method, as it allows for more reliable results.
The empirical findings showed that the relationship between the individual determinants of working capital and profitability is not linear, as it had emerged in other previous research that concerned companies from different developed and emerging countries.
The results, therefore, suggest that, until the optimal size is reached, the relationship between working capital and profitability is positive. However, once the optimal size has been exceeded, the relationship turns negative due to increased costs and the risk of financial distress.
The research results are important from several points of view. Firstly, empirical findings contribute to enriching the existing literature on the subject, offering a further contribution to an emerging economy that is still little studied. Secondly, the results can guide the choices of SME managers in defining the optimal level of working capital.
The results must, however, be interpreted according to the area investigated and the number of companies involved. In the future, to consolidate the results of this research, we will consider a larger geographical area of the country and a greater number of companies. However, data collection in emerging economies is much longer and more complex than in developed countries, where access to data is easier and more immediate.
Smith, Keith. Profitability versus Liquidity Tradeoffs in Working Capital Management. Edited by K. V. Smith, West Publishing Company, 1980, pp. 549–562.
Khoury, N.T. et al. "Comparing Working Capital Management Practices in Canada, the United States and Australia: A Note." Canadian Journal of Administrative Sciences, vol. 16, no. 1, 1999, pp. 53–57.
Deloof, Marc. "Does Working Capital Management Affect Profitability of Belgian Firms?" Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, vol. 30, no. 4, 2003, pp. 573–587.
Filbeck, Greg and Thomas Krueger. "Industry Related Differences in Working Capital Management." Journal of Business, vol. 20, no. 2, 2005, pp. 11–18.
Chen, Jing and Luca Sensini. "Net Working Capital, Cash Flow and Performance of SMEs: An Exploratory Study." Small and Medium Size Enterprises: Governance, Management and Performance, Malta Univ. Press, 2014, pp. 296–315.
Aktas, Nihat et al. "Is Working Capital Management Value-Enhancing? Evidence from Firm Performance and Investments." Journal of Corporate Finance, vol. 30, 2015, pp. 98–113.
Chen, Jing et al. "Growth Opportunities and Ownership Structure as Determinants of Italian Firms’ Leverage." ACRMC, 2014, pp. 365–386.
E. W. et al. "Working Capital Management and Performance: An Empirical Study." ACMRC, 2020, pp. 137–155.
Chalmers, D. K. et al. "R & D and Internationalization: Effect on the Performance of SMEs." International Journal of Advances in Management and Economics, vol. 9, no. 3, 2020, pp. 39–48.
Campos, A. et al. "Business Risk Prediction Models: An Empirical Analysis." International Conference on Accounting and Management Research, 2014, pp. 426–445.
Campos, A. et al. "Efficiency Ratio and Firm Performance: Evidence from Italy." IFBE, Dubai, 2015.
Parisi, M. et al. "Valuing Private Companies: A Data Envelopment Analysis Approach." ACRMC, 2014, pp. 426–439.
Marino, L. and Luca Sensini. "Ownership Structure and Firm’s Performance: An Empirical Evidence from Italy." International Conference on Accounting and Management Research, 2014, pp. 126–141.
Emery, Gary W. "An Optimal Financial Response to Variable Demand." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 22, no. 2, 1987, pp. 209–225.
Fazzari, Steven M. and Bruce Petersen. "Working Capital and Fixed Investment: New Evidence on Financing Constraints." The Rand Journal of Economics, vol. 24, no. 3, 1993, pp. 328–342.
Wilner, Benjamin S. "The Exploitation of Relationship in Financial Distress: The Case of Trade Credit." The Journal of Finance, vol. 55, no. 1, 2000, pp. 153–178.
Wang, Y.J. "Liquidity Management, Operating Performance, and Corporate Value: Evidence from Japan and Taiwan." Journal of Multinational Financial Management, vol. 12, no. 2, 2002, pp. 159–169.
Zariyawati, M.A. et al. "Working Capital Management and Corporate Performance: Case of Malaysia." Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing, vol. 5, no. 11, 2009, pp. 47–54.
Erasmus, P.D. "Working Capital Management and Profitability: The Relationship between the Net Trade Cycle and Return on Assets." Management Dynamics, vol. 19, no. 1, 2010, pp. 2–10.
Alipour, Mohammad. "Working Capital Management and Corporate Profitability: Evidence from Iran." World Applied Sciences Journal, vol. 12, no. 7, 2011, pp. 1093–1099.
Karaduman, H.A. et al. "The Relationship between Working Capital Management and Profitability: Evidence from an Emerging Market." International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, vol. 62, no. 6, 2011, pp. 61–67.
Sensini, Luca. "Factors Driving Capital Structure of Italian SMEs." International Business Management, vol. 14, no. 7, 2020, pp. 217–225.
Mannetta, E.W. et al. "Working Capital and Cost Management." ICEFR, 2014.
Tauringana, Venancio, and Albert G. Afrifa. "The Relative Importance of Working Capital Management and Its Components to SMEs’ Profitability." Journal of Small Business and Enterprise Development, vol. 20, no. 3, 2013, pp. 453–469.
Ukaegbu, Ben. "The Significance of Working Capital Management in Determining Firm Profitability: Evidence from Developing Economies in Africa." Research in International Business and Finance, vol. 31, 2014, pp. 1–16.
Chen, Y. et al. "Working Capital Management and Quality Management Systems: Evidence from an Emerging Economy." International Journal of Business Management and Economic Research, vol. 11, no. 4, 2020, pp. 1861–1868.
Chalmers, D.K. et al. "Working Capital Management (WCM) and Performance of SMEs: Evidence from India." International Journal of Business and Social Science, vol. 11, no. 7, 2020, pp. 57–63.
Boisjolya, R.P. et al. "Working Capital Management: Financial and Valuation Impacts." Journal of Business Research, vol. 108, 2020, pp. 1–8.
Scognamillo, A. et al. "Non-Renewable Resources, Income Inequality and Per Capita GDP: An Empirical Analysis." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, no. 7831, 2016.
Amendola, A. et al. "An Assessment of the Access to Credit-Welfare Nexus: Evidence from Mauritania." International Journal of Business and Management, vol. 12, no. 9, 2017, pp. 77–93.
Diaz, E. and Luca Sensini. "Quality Management Practices, Innovation and Profitability of SMEs: Evidence from Argentina." International Business Management, vol. 14, no. 9, 2020, pp. 328–336.
Alvarez, T. et al. "Working Capital Management and Profitability: Evidence from an Emergent Economy." International Journal of Advances in Management and Economics, vol. 11, no. 1, 2021, pp. 32–39.
Brennan, Michael J. et al. "Vendor Financing." Journal of Finance, vol. 43, no. 5, 1988, pp. 1127–1141.
Chalmers, D.K. et al. "Impact of Working Capital Management Policies on Corporate Performance." ICEFR, 2014.
Sanchez, J.A. and Luca Sensini. "Small Firms and Demand for Credit: Evidence from Europe." ICAFR, 2017, pp. 124–144.
Mannetta, E.W. et al. "Credit Management in the Small Firm Sector: Empirical Evidence." International Conference on Accounting, Finance and Risk Management Perspective, 2013.
Lee, Y.W. and J.D. Stowe. "Product Risk, Asymmetric Information, and Trade Credit." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 28, no. 2, 1993, pp. 285–300.
Sensini, Luca. "Capital Structure Determinants in Italian SMEs: An Empirical Study." ICAFR, 2017, pp. 124–144.
Mannetta, E.W. and W. Zhang. "Working Capital Management and Performance in Emerging Economies." ICAMR, 2014.
Bello, C. and Luca Sensini. "Financing Decisions in the Hotel Industry." International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 10, no. 2, 2020, pp. 9–14.
Amendola, A. et al. "Corporate Financial Distress and Bankruptcy: A Comparative Analysis in France, Italy and Spain." Global Economic Observer, vol. 1, 2013, pp. 131–142.
Sensini, Luca. "An Empirical Analysis of Financially Distressed Italian Companies." International Business Research, vol. 9, no. 10, 2016, pp. 75–85.
Diaz, E. and M. Vazquez. "Relationship between WCM and Profitability: First Empirical Evidence from an Emergent Economy." DIAF, 2019.
Cohen, W. et al. "The Relevance of Tax Information in Financial Statement." International Conference on Accounting, Finance and Risk Management, 2013, pp. 141–166.
Sensini, Luca. "Working Capital Management and Performance: Evidence from Italian SMEs." International Journal of Business Management and Economic Research, vol. 11, no. 2, 2020, pp. 1749–1755.
Mueller, A. and Luca Sensini. "Determinants of Financing Decisions of SMEs: Evidence from Hotel Industry." International Journal of Business and Management, vol. 16, no. 3, 2021, pp. 117–127.
Jose M. L. et al. Corporate returns and cash conversion cycles. Journal of Economics and Finance, vol. 20, no. 1, 1996, pp. 33–46.
Nobanee, Haitham et al. "Cash Conversion Cycle and Firm's Performance of Japanese Firms." Asian Review of Accounting, vol. 19, no. 2, 2011, pp. 147–156.
Garcia-Teruel, P. J. and P. Martinez-Solano. "Effects of Working Capital Management on SME Performance." International Journal of Managerial Finance, vol. 3, no. 2, 2007, pp. 164–177.
Mansoori, D.E. and D. Muhammad. "The Effect of Working Capital Management on Firm’s Profitability: Evidence from Singapore." Interdisciplinary Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, vol. 4, no. 5, 2012, pp. 472–486.
Mathuva, David. "The Influence of Working Capital Management Components on Corporate Profitability." Research Journal of Business Management, vol. 4, no. 1, 2010, pp. 1–11.
H. Y. "Relationship between Working Capital Management and Profitability in Brazilian Listed Companies." Journal of Global Business and Economics, vol. 3, no. 1, 2011, pp. 74–86.
Afeef, Muhammad. "Analyzing the Impact of Working Capital Management on the Profitability of SMEs in Pakistan." International Journal of Business and Social Science, vol. 2, no. 22, 2011, pp. 173–183.
Gill, Amarjit et al. "The Relationship between Working Capital Management and Profitability: Evidence from the United States." Business and Economics Journal, vol. 10, no. 1, 2010, pp. 1–9.
Sharma, A.K. and Satish Kumar. "Effect of Working Capital Management on Firm Profitability: Empirical Evidence from India." Global Business Review, vol. 12, no. 1, 2011, pp. 159–173.
Akinlo, Olayemi and Olufisayo Olufemi. "The Effect of Working Capital on Profitability of Firms in Nigeria: Evidence from General Method of Moments (GMM)." Asian Journal of Business and Management Sciences, vol. 1, no. 2, 2011, pp. 130–135.
Shin, H.H. and Luc Soenen. "Efficiency of Working Capital and Corporate Profitability." Financial Practice and Education, vol. 8, no. 2, 1998, pp. 37–45.
Dang, H.N. and D.M. Tran. "Relationship between Accrual Anomaly and Stock Return: The Case of Vietnam." The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, vol. 6, no. 4, 2019, pp. 19–26.
Kim, Y.H. and K.H. Chung. "An Integrated Evaluation of Investment in Inventory and Credit: A Cash Flow Approach." Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, vol. 17, no. 3, 1990, pp. 381–389.
Amendola, A. et al. "Corporate Governance, Investment, Profitability and Insolvency Risk: Evidence from Italy." Advances in Management and Applied Economics, vol. 10, no. 4, 2020, pp. 185–202.